Trading Signals – 26 October 2026
5 crypto trade ideas for 26 October 2026: 1 long and 4 short. Entry, stop and two targets are given for each, with the reasoning and the level at which the idea is abandoned.
Today’s framework
Monday 26 October 2026. Bitcoin is holding just above 80,000, and the reason for the decline lies in the calendar rather than in crypto: the Fed decision on Wednesday, Alphabet and Microsoft earnings the same day, and the midterm elections a week later. XRP, Avalanche and Cardano have lagged bitcoin over the past month, Cardano the most.
One idea is long and four are short; four are taken at the market and BTC waits for a daily close above 80,400. Bitcoin is on the long side, with entry conditional on confirmation, as its long-term structure has not broken down; ether, XRP, Avalanche and Cardano are on the short side, all with double-digit monthly losses.
Trade ideas
The entry condition says whether the idea is taken at the market or only once a stated level, a confirmation or the data release is met.
| No | Instrument | Direction | Entry | Stop | Target 1 | Target 2 | Entry condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BTC | Long | Above 80,400 | 79,368.67 | 81,213.64 | 82,500 | Daily close above 80,400 |
| 2 | ETH | Short | 2,332 – 2,350 | 2,371.52 | 2,293.09 | 2,282.46 | Market, small size |
| 3 | XRP | Short | 1.2950 – 1.3050 | 1.3159 | 1.2733 | 1.2546 | Market |
| 4 | AVAX | Short | 8.93 – 9.02 | 9.09 | 8.765 | 8.675 | Market, small size |
| 5 | ADA | Short | 0.2050 – 0.2085 | 0.2125 | 0.2005 | 0.196 | Market |
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1. BTC — long.
At $80,233 it is holding just above the 80,000 threshold; it touched 79,369 overnight and remains below 82,500, which was lost on 23 October. The reason for the decline lies in the calendar, not on the crypto side: the Fed decision on Wednesday, Alphabet and Microsoft earnings the same day, and the midterm elections a week later. Going into a week like this with reduced risk is rational. The price is 5.8% above the 200-day average, so the long-term structure has not broken down. The direction is up but the entry depends on confirmation; chasing a buy before 80,400 breaks is expensive this week.
Invalidated if: A close below 79,368.67. -
2. ETH — short.
At $2,326.51 the price is making successive lower highs and lower lows; the monthly loss is 13.56% and it fell 1.09% yesterday. It is only 0.7% above the 200-day average, so the long-term support is also being tested. With momentum at 34, close to oversold, the size is small, but the structure is clearly down.
Invalidated if: A close above 2,371.52. -
3. XRP — short.
At $1.2916 the price is in a pattern of lower highs and lower lows; the monthly loss is 17.65% and it has lagged bitcoin by 8% over the past month. It fell 0.68% yesterday and the price is 4.6% below the 200-day average.
Invalidated if: A close above 1.3159. -
4. AVAX — short.
At $8.907 it has lagged bitcoin by 14.2% over the past month; the weekly loss is 8.90% and the monthly loss 16.38%. It has dropped below $9 and momentum is at 36.
Invalidated if: A close above 9.09. -
5. ADA — short.
At $0.2045 it has become the weakest in crypto, lagging bitcoin by 19.2% over the past month; the weekly loss is 7.55% and the monthly loss 20.98%. The price is 10.7% below the 200-day average.
Invalidated if: A close above 0.2125.
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