What the Copper-Gold Ratio Says About Growth Expectations
The copper-gold ratio compares an industrial metal with a safe haven to gauge growth expectations. How it tracked yields, why it broke down, how to use it.
OTCN editorial market coverage.
The copper-gold ratio compares an industrial metal with a safe haven to gauge growth expectations. How it tracked yields, why it broke down, how to use it.
When inflation is high and rising, commodities have usually beaten stocks, as in the 1970s and 2022. The evidence, why it happens and where it misleads.
Bonds rallying while stocks fall usually signals growth fears and a flight to safety. What the pattern has meant in 2008 and 2020, and when it misleads.
How bitcoin, gold and the US dollar behaved in recent sell-offs, from 2020 to 2026. Which acted as a haven and which traded like a risk asset, and why.
How stocks, bonds, gold and commodities have tended to behave as interest rates rise, peak and fall, and why recessions change the picture after the first cut.
In 2022 stocks, bonds, real estate and bitcoin fell together while commodities rose. What happened, why traditional diversification failed and the lessons.
In February and March 2020 stocks fell 34% in 23 trading days, oil went negative, gold and bonds wobbled and bitcoin halved in a day. A cross-asset timeline.
In the 2008 crisis the S&P 500 fell 57% while Treasuries and gold rose and volatility hit record levels. A cross-asset timeline and what it taught investors.