Does the January Effect Still Exist?
The January Effect was strongest in small and beaten-down stocks, but later evidence is mixed. Learn why the anomaly may have weakened over time.
Research · Blog
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OTCN editorial market coverage.
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How Long Bull Markets Have Lasted, and What Ended Them
Bull markets have ranged from short recoveries to decade-long advances. History shows they end for different reasons, not because they become too old.
How Bear Markets Have Typically Ended
Bear markets rarely end when the news turns good. History shows bottoms often form as expectations, liquidity and policy stop getting worse.
Gold vs Stocks During Market Crashes
Gold has often diversified equity losses during severe selloffs, but not on every day. Compare how gold and stocks behave when liquidity and fear spike.
What Usually Happens to Gold When the Fed Starts Cutting Rates?
Gold often benefits when Fed policy shifts toward easing, but timing varies. See how real yields, the dollar, recession risk and liquidity shape the move.
Why Defensive Stocks Tend to Hold Up Late in the Cycle
Defensive stocks can hold up late in the cycle because demand is steadier and earnings are less cyclical. Utilities, staples and healthcare still differ.
Why Crypto and Tech Stocks Often Trade as the Same Risk Asset
Crypto and tech stocks can move together when rates, liquidity and risk appetite dominate. See what strengthens the link and when it breaks.
Why Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycle Is So Debated
Bitcoin halvings occur about every four years, but the price-cycle story is disputed. The sample is small and macro, liquidity and demand also matter.